Buy Gold in August, expect good returns in next two months

Believe it or not seasonal factors do affect Gold price levels! This probably sounds counter intuitive initially. Investors and speculators can buy and sell Gold anytime regardless of the passing of the calendar year, so why does the time of year matter? The answer is quite logical. It matters because calendar seasons greatly affect gold investment demand.

These monthly seasonal tendencies reinforce the annual analysis. Summers, especially June and July, tend to be weak during the summer doldrums. August looks strong above in monthly terms, but realizes most of these gains merely offset July's big losses. But once summer passes, gold tend to rally on balance in most months except October. While they can drift lower other times, these non-summer pullbacks tend to be trivial.

August is the perfect time to stock up and prepare for the highly-probable large autumn (September) gold rally. Gold tends to rally sharply in autumn because of big Asian buying. After harvest, farmers can invest in gold once they know how big their profits are. And gold demand in India in particular, the world's largest consumer, rockets higher during autumn's festival season and marriages.

The bottom line is precious-metals stocks have exhibited very definite seasonal tendencies over the course of their secular bull. This is largely the result of gold demand spikes driven by income-cycle and cultural factors that are tied to the calendar year. While stock seasonal are often secondary drivers that can be temporarily overridden by short-term technical and sentimental extremes, prudent traders still pay close attention to these headwinds and tailwinds

Moreover, World Gold Council published report on Gold Demand Trends for Q2-2010, which suggests demand for gold will remain robust during 2010 as a result of accelerating demand from India and China, as well as increasing global investment demand driven by continuing uncertainty over public debt and economic recovery.

Conclusion
In the coming period, gold may rise further with more expected physical demand from India, the world's largest gold buyer, where festival season begins next week and ends in November.

Source: http://www.commodityonline.com/news/Buy-Gold-in-August-expect-good-returns-in-next-two-months-31264-3-1.html

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